AI Capex Flow MapHyperscaler → Supplier Attribution
All suppliers
Networking & OpticalSEC filings

Arista Networks (ANET)

Datacenter Ethernet switches for AI back-end and front-end fabrics

Modeled AI capex flow
$16.3B

from Big 5 forward AI-attributable spend

Hyperscaler exposure
60.0%

of revenue (latest 10-K)

Top hyperscaler customer
AMZN

modeled $4.6B flow

Deferred revenue
$2.7B

Q4 2025 10-Q

Forward visibility: Deferred revenue

The leading indicator AM analysts read as capex commitments convert to supplier revenue.

Deferred revenue + service-contract liabilities proxy product order book. AI back-end fabric design-win conversion ramping into 2026.

As of: Q4 2025 10-QSource filing
Flow attribution by hyperscaler

Modeled dollars from each hyperscaler's AI-attributable forward capex.

CustomerModeled flow% of total
Amazon (AMZN)$4.6B28.5%
Microsoft (MSFT)$3.8B23.3%
Meta Platforms (META)$3.3B20.3%
Alphabet (GOOGL)$3.2B19.4%
Oracle (ORCL)$1.4B8.5%
Computed from disclosed customer concentration and per-hyperscaler accelerator preferences. Per-edge values can be reconstructed from the Methodology page.
Notes & source

META and MSFT each >10% customers historically. AI back-end design wins ramping into 2026.

View SEC filings page