AI Capex Flow MapHyperscaler → Supplier Attribution
LIVEFiled data through 2026Q1·Sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL

AI capex flows beyond the headline names.

Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, and Oracle are committing more than $400 billion a year to data center build-out. This dashboard traces those dollars from filed cash flow statements through to the suppliers actually capturing the spend — power, networking, memory, foundry equipment, and cooling — not just the GPU vendor everyone owns.

Big 5 Capex · TTM
$482.1B+78.0%

Trailing 12 months across MSFT, META, GOOGL, AMZN, ORCL

Forward Guidance · Midpoint
$522.5B+8.4%

Range $485B – $560B per stated guidance

AI-Attributable (modeled)
$343.5B – $397.3B

Per-company AI share applied to forward capex

Concentration
3 names

MSFT + GOOGL + AMZN ≈ 70% of Big 5 capex

Quarterly capex by hyperscaler

Stacked, calendar-quarter — derived from quarterly 10-Q / 10-K cash flow statements.

Source: SEC EDGAR companyconcept API — us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment (AMZN: PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets). Q1–Q3 derived by differencing YTD entries.
Per-hyperscaler snapshot

Latest filed quarter, TTM run-rate, and management-stated forward guidance with source filings.

CompanyLatest QTTMYoYForward guidanceAI shareSources
MicrosoftMSFT
$30.9B
FY2026Q3 · 2026-03-31
$97.2B+58.5%
$110–$120BFY26 (Jul 2025 – Jun 2026)
75%
Meta PlatformsMETA
$19.0B
FY2026Q1 · 2026-03-31
$75.7B+73.0%
$100–$115BFY2026 (Jan – Dec 2026)
70%
AlphabetGOOGL
$35.7B
FY2026Q1 · 2026-03-31
$109.9B+90.4%
$95–$110BFY2026 (Jan – Dec 2026)
70%
AmazonAMZN
$44.2B
FY2026Q1 · 2026-03-31
$151.0B+62.2%
$150–$175BFY2026 (Jan – Dec 2026)
65%
OracleORCL
$18.6B
FY2026Q3 · 2026-02-28
$48.3B+223.1%
$30–$40BFY26 (Jun 2025 – May 2026)
90%
Latest management commentary

Structured-extraction output — capex figures, forward guidance, named technologies — pulled from earnings calls via Claude CLI. Re-run with npm run extract.

AI extracted
MSFTQ3 FY26 earnings call
constructive
We continue to expect FY26 capital expenditures to grow in absolute dollars compared to FY25, with the mix increasingly weighted toward GPU and CPU servers in support of monetization.
Guidance: grow in absolute dollars compared to FY25
GPU serversCPU servers
Amy Hood, CFOSource ↗
METAQ4 2025 earnings call
constructive
We expect 2026 capital expenditures to be in the range of $100 billion to $115 billion.
Guidance: $100 billion to $115 billion
MTIA acceleratorsmerchant GPUs
Susan Li, CFOSource ↗
GOOGLQ4 2025 earnings call
constructive
For 2026 we expect capex to be meaningfully higher year-over-year as we continue to invest in technical infrastructure, including TPUs, GPUs and data center build-out.
Guidance: meaningfully higher year-over-year
TPUsGPUs
Ruth Porat, CFOSource ↗
AMZNQ4 2025 earnings call
constructive
We expect 2026 capex to be meaningfully larger than 2025 as we continue to invest aggressively to support both AWS workloads and the broader retail and fulfillment business.
Guidance: meaningfully larger than 2025
Andy Jassy, CEOSource ↗
ORCLQ3 FY26 earnings call
constructive
Capital expenditures in the quarter were $18.6 billion, with FY26 capex now expected to exceed $35 billion.
Guidance: now expected to exceed $35 billion
Gen2 cloud regionsStargateOpenAIOCI
Safra Catz, CEOSource ↗
Where this dashboard goes next

The headline question for AM/IM allocators in 2026 is no longer is the AI capex cycle real — it is where the marginal dollar lands. The most consensus-overweight position (Mag 7 directly) captures only the operator side of the trade. The supplier side — power, cooling, memory, networking, specialized chips, and foundry capacity — is structurally underweighted and has earnings tied directly to the next four quarters of capex commitments.

The Capex Flow Map decomposes each hyperscaler's spend into infrastructure layers and routes it to specific suppliers using disclosed customer concentration. The Suppliers page surfaces backlog and disclosed exposure per name.

Data freshness
Latest filing2026-04-30
Dataset built2026-05-12
Hyperscalers5
Quarters40

Refresh: npm run fetch